The latest data on key ETE metrics posted on the ETE Dashboard, including the 2016 statewide HIV incidence data recently released by the New York State Department of Health AIDS Institute, suggest that the ETE Initiative is nearly on track to end AIDS in New York by the end of 2020. The estimated number of new HIV infections in New York was 2,115 in 2016, a 13% drop from the previous year’s estimate, nearly matching the annual ETE target set at 2,050. While the downward trend of incident infections signals progress, future decreases will need to be greater (about 23% per year) in order for New York to reach its central ETE goal of reducing the number of new HIV infections to 750 by the end of 2020.
Viral load suppression among all people living with diagnosed HIV in New York, another key metric of the ETE Initiative, was estimated to be at 70%, falling just shy of the 2016 target of 73%. On the other hand, a third key metric, PrEP use among Medicaid recipients, reached 4,226 individuals, exceeding the 2016 target of 3,359, and PEP use is on the decline among Medicaid recipients, a possible early indicator of improved targeting of PrEP. “While it is too soon to say definitively, taken together, these data may be an early indication that the ETE initiative is having an impact”, said Dr. Denis Nash, Professor of Epidemiology at the City University of New York (CUNY) School of Public Health, and the Executive Director of CUNY’s Institute for Implementation Science in Population Health. “The implementation of strategies under the ETE Initiative’s Blueprint to End AIDS in New York was just getting started in 2015 and 2016. The increases in PrEP uptake that we have seen by the end of 2016 could translate into accelerated reductions in HIV incidence in 2017 and beyond.”
The ETE Dashboard displays trends of actual data and annual targets for all of New York’s official ETE metrics. We have created an ETE Progress Infographic (see figure) that summarizes many of the key ETE metrics and targets, including PrEP use data among Medicaid recipients and HIV-related deaths according to vital statistics records. The infographic highlights where we were in 2016 and the achievements necessary in order to reach the ETE Initiative’s goals for 2020.
While lag in data reporting continues to be a challenge for many of our data sources, the ETE Dashboard team is working to disseminate HIV-related data as soon as it is made available, so that we may inform stakeholders of the progress made and the challenges that remain.